How the risk reward ratio works
The risk:reward ratio is the single most useful number on a trade plan: it tells you, before you enter, how much you stand to lose against how much you stand to gain. It is built from three prices — your entry, your stop-loss (where you cut a losing trade) and your target (where you take profit). Everything else, from the breakeven win rate to your expected return per trade, follows from these three numbers.
A high ratio alone never guarantees profit
The formula
The calculator measures two price distances, then divides them:
- Risk per unit = |entry − stop|
- Reward per unit = |target − entry|
- Reward ÷ risk multiple (RR) = reward per unit ÷ risk per unit
- Displayed ratio = 1 : RR (one unit of risk to RR units of reward)
- Risk % = risk per unit ÷ entry × 100, Reward % = reward per unit ÷ entry × 100
- Total risk / reward = per-unit figure × quantity
- Breakeven win rate = risk ÷ (risk + reward) = 1 ÷ (1 + RR), as a percent
- Expectancy = win% × total reward − (1 − win%) × total risk
Absolute differences make the arithmetic identical for long and short trades — the trade direction only decides whether the setup is valid (a long needs target > entry > stop; a short needs stop > entry > target). If your stop or target is on the wrong side of entry, the calculator flags an invalid setup rather than silently “fixing” it with absolute values and showing a misleading ratio.
Worked example (long trade)
Enter long at $100, place the stop at $95 and the target at $115, with a position size of 100 units and an assumed 50% win rate:
| Figure | Value | How it's found |
|---|---|---|
| Risk per unit | $5.00 | |$100 − $95| |
| Reward per unit | $15.00 | |$115 − $100| |
| Risk : Reward | 1 : 3 | $15.00 ÷ $5.00 = 3 |
| Total risk | $500 | $5.00 × 100 |
| Total reward | $1,500 | $15.00 × 100 |
| Breakeven win rate | 25% | 1 ÷ (1 + 3) |
| Expected P&L / trade | $500 | 0.50 × $1,500 − 0.50 × $500 |
At 1 : 3 you only need to win about 25% of your trades to break even — so even a coin-flip 50% win rate produces a healthy positive expectancy of $500 per trade.
Breakeven win rate at common ratios
The higher your reward:risk multiple, the smaller the share of trades you need to win just to stay flat. This is the reason traders chase asymmetric setups — a 1 : 3 plan can be wrong three times out of four and still not lose money.
| Risk : Reward | Reward ÷ risk | Breakeven win rate | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 : 0.5 | 0.5 | 66.67% | Risk exceeds reward — a high win rate is required |
| 1 : 1 | 1 | 50.00% | Symmetric — you must win more than half your trades |
| 1 : 1.5 | 1.5 | 40.00% | Reward exceeds risk — a modest win rate can be profitable |
| 1 : 2 | 2 | 33.33% | Reward exceeds risk — a modest win rate can be profitable |
| 1 : 3 | 3 | 25.00% | Reward exceeds risk — a modest win rate can be profitable |
| 1 : 4 | 4 | 20.00% | Reward exceeds risk — a modest win rate can be profitable |
| 1 : 5 | 5 | 16.67% | Reward exceeds risk — a modest win rate can be profitable |
Risk:reward, win rate and expectancy together
A favourable ratio alone never guarantees profit. What matters is whether your actual win rate clears the breakeven win rate for your ratio. Expectancy ties the two together: it is the average outcome per trade once you weight a full win and a full loss by their probabilities. A positive expectancy means the edge is real over a large sample; a negative one means even a great-looking ratio bleeds money. Always pair the ratio you plan with a win rate you can actually defend from a backtest or live record — and remember the figures here are gross, before commissions, spread, slippage and overnight costs.
A useful rule of thumb: at any ratio, your edge (in terms of expectancy per unit risked) equals win rate × RR − (1 − win rate). If that number is positive, the system has positive expectancy. If it is zero, you are at the breakeven point. Knowing this lets you set a minimum acceptable win rate target before you start trading a strategy, rather than discovering it is unprofitable after a large sample of live trades.
Assumptions and limitations
- Linear instruments only. The price-distance formula gives exact currency P&L for stocks, spot forex and crypto. For futures and CFDs each price point has a separate contract multiplier (e.g. one E-mini S&P tick = $12.50); embed that multiplier in your quantity input.
- Breakeven win rate excludes transaction costs. Commissions, bid-ask spread, slippage and overnight financing all reduce net expectancy. Your real breakeven win rate is slightly higher than the theoretical figure shown.
- Expectancy assumes binary exits. The calculation assumes every winning trade reaches exactly your target and every losing trade exits exactly at your stop. Trailing stops, partial exits and gap risk will shift the actual distribution.
- Win probability is user-supplied. The calculator accepts any value from 0% to 100%; it makes no forecast of your actual win rate. Use figures drawn from a verified backtest or live trading record, not a guess.
Frequently asked questions
What is a risk reward calculator?+
A risk reward calculator computes the ratio of your potential loss to your potential gain on a trade. You enter your entry price, stop-loss price and take-profit target; the calculator divides the potential reward by the potential risk and displays the result as “1 : X” — meaning you risk 1 unit to potentially gain X units. It also shows the breakeven win rate (the minimum percentage of trades you need to win to stay profitable at this ratio) and, optionally, your expected P&L per trade.
How do you calculate the risk reward ratio?+
Risk per unit = |entry price − stop-loss price|. Reward per unit = |take-profit price − entry price|. The ratio is reward ÷ risk, normalized and displayed as “1 : X”. For example, if you enter a trade at $100, set your stop at $95 and your target at $115, risk = $5, reward = $15, and the ratio is 1 : 3.
What is a good risk reward ratio?+
A commonly cited minimum is 1 : 2 — you aim to gain at least $2 for every $1 you risk. At 1 : 2, you only need to win 33.3% of trades to break even. Many systematic traders aim for 1 : 3 or better (25% breakeven win rate), so that even a modest win rate generates consistent profit. The right ratio depends on your strategy’s actual win rate: a high-win-rate scalping strategy can be profitable at 1 : 1, while a trend-following system with rare wins may require 1 : 5 or more.
What is the breakeven win rate for a given risk reward ratio?+
Breakeven win rate = risk ÷ (risk + reward) = 1 ÷ (1 + RR), expressed as a percentage. If your ratio is 1 : 3, the breakeven win rate is 1 ÷ (1 + 3) = 25%. If your historical win rate is above 25%, you are profitable at this ratio; below 25%, you lose money on net even though individual winners outperform individual losers.
What is the difference between risk:reward and reward:risk?+
Both express the same relationship between potential loss and potential gain, but swap the order. “Risk:reward 1:3” means you risk 1 to gain 3. “Reward:risk 3:1” (or “reward-to-risk ratio 3”) also means you gain 3 per 1 risked. The underlying multiple (reward divided by risk) is identical. This calculator normalizes to “1 : X” (risk side first) and also displays the bare reward/risk multiple so you can read it either way.
How do I use a risk reward calculator for forex trading?+
Enter your entry price, stop-loss level and take-profit level in the currency pair’s price (e.g. EUR/USD at 1.1000, stop 1.0950, target 1.1150). The calculator shows risk = 50 pips, reward = 150 pips, ratio 1 : 3 and breakeven win rate 25%. Enter your position size in units (e.g. 100,000 for a standard lot) to see total risk and reward in currency terms.
What is trading expectancy and how is it calculated?+
Trading expectancy is the average profit or loss you can expect per trade, given your win probability and risk:reward ratio. Formula: Expectancy = (win probability × average win) − (loss probability × average loss). If your ratio is 1 : 3, your average win is $300, average loss is $100, and you estimate a 40% win rate: expectancy = (0.40 × $300) − (0.60 × $100) = $60 per trade. A positive expectancy means the strategy is theoretically profitable over many trades.
Can I use this calculator for crypto or stock trading?+
Yes. The risk:reward calculation works identically for any liquid instrument where price moves translate linearly to profit and loss per unit — stocks, ETFs, cryptocurrency, spot forex, and commodity spot prices. For futures, CFDs and options, you may need to adjust for the contract’s point/tick value to convert price distances into currency P&L; the calculator’s quantity field handles this when you set quantity to reflect the notional value per price unit.
What happens if my stop-loss and entry price are the same?+
If stop equals entry, the risk per unit is zero, and the ratio is mathematically undefined (division by zero). This calculator flags the input as an invalid setup and refuses to display a ratio. A stop-loss at exactly your entry price means you have no risk limit — which is not a valid trade plan.
Does a good risk reward ratio guarantee profits?+
No. The ratio only describes the size relationship between potential gain and potential loss on a single trade. Whether a strategy is profitable overall depends on your actual win rate, not just the ratio. A 1 : 10 ratio sounds excellent but is worthless if you win fewer than 9% of trades. Always combine the ratio analysis with realistic expectancy based on your backtest or live win rate.
What is the risk reward ratio for a short trade?+
For a short (sell) trade, price moves in the opposite direction. Risk = stop-loss price − entry price (stop is above entry); reward = entry price − target price (target is below entry). The formula |entry − stop| and |target − entry| handles both directions identically with absolute differences. For example, short at $100, stop $105, target $80: risk = $5, reward = $20, ratio 1 : 4.
How does risk reward relate to position sizing?+
Position sizing and risk:reward work together. Once you know the risk per unit (|entry − stop|), you set your position size so that the total risk (risk per unit × quantity) equals the dollar amount you are willing to lose on the trade, typically a fixed percentage of your account (the 1% or 2% rule). This calculator shows total risk = risk per unit × quantity, so you can back-calculate the quantity from your account size and risk tolerance.
Disclaimer
Sources
- CME Group — Risk Management and Your Trade Plan: a risk/reward ratio compares the potential loss to the potential gain; with a 2:1 ratio, risking 20 ticks targets 40, the entry-to-stop distance (in dollars) sets the capital risked per trade
- FINRA — Risk: the risk-return tradeoff and how potential reward correlates with the level of risk taken
- SEC (Investor.gov) — Stocks: how the potential for reward (capital appreciation) is balanced against downside risk
Formula and data last reviewed by the TheCalculatorVault team on 26 June 2026. Figures are for general information, not professional advice.
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